In this project we'll check whether the hypothesis 'University towns in United States have their mean housing prices less effected by recessions.' is true or not.
To test the hypothesis we'll use the following data files:
- From the Zillow research data site there is housing data for the United States. In particular the datafile for all homes at a city level,
City_Zhvi_AllHomes.csv
, has median home sale prices at a fine grained level. - From the Wikipedia page on college towns is a list of university towns in the United States which has been copy and pasted into the file
university_towns.txt
. - From Bureau of Economic Analysis, US Department of Commerce, the GDP over time of the United States in current dollars (use the chained value in 2009 dollars), in quarterly intervals, in the file
gdplev.xls
.
These are the terms we'll be using across the project:
- A quarter is a specific three month period, Q1 is January through March, Q2 is April through June, Q3 is July through September, Q4 is October through December.
- A recession is defined as starting with two consecutive quarters of GDP decline, and ending with two consecutive quarters of GDP growth.
- A recession bottom is the quarter within a recession which had the lowest GDP.
- A university town is a city which has a high percentage of university students compared to the total population of the city.