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Kaggle_Compeition

1. Media Cost Prediction:

The train and public 20% test set is in the Kaggle: Tabular Regression with a Media Campaign Cost. The best score we got was 0.29698 RMSLE in the private ranking for the whole test set. We provide our experiment overview and the simplified final code here.

Workflow

  • Cleaning Phase:

    1. Outlier Removal: 1.5 IQR, 95%CI, Outlier detection algorithms: One-Class SVM > Elliptic Envelope > Isolation Forest

Note: One-Class SVM is a proper option. Although we choose it to generate a new dataset without outliers, the final performance is slightly worse than the original dataset with outliers.

  • Transformation & Dimensionality Reduction: Standardization, Box-Cox/Yeo-Johnson: Good for our highly skewness features, but may not valid for negative values. Dimensionality Reduction (PCA or tSNE)

Note: Standardization makes our prediction worse for our machine learning methods, but it is necessary for deep learning networks. Box-Cox/Yeo-Johnson is invalid for our sets. PCA is a better option here.

  • Further Feature Engineering: Feature Selection, Feature Construction, Feature Concatenation

Note: Droping less significant features and construct more meaningful new features are really good. Extra concatenation from new features has unstable performance.

  • Modelling Phase:

    1. Basic Machine Learning Models:

    2. Ensemble Models:

    Voting: Decision Tree + Random Forest

    Boosting: AdaBoost, XGBoost, LightGBoost.

    3. Deep Learning: Simple Fully-Connected Layers.

2.Kidney Stone Prediction:

The train and public 20% test set is in the Kaggle: Binary Classification with a Tabular Kidney Stone Prediction. The best score we got was 0.86+ AUC in the private ranking for the whole test set. We provide our experiment overview and the simplified final code here.

Primary Workflow

1. Feature Engineering: selected by importance, feature construction

2. Strategy: 1. all Primary traditional machine learning models. 2. boosting 3. voting 4. stacking

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