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formula-1-prediction's Introduction

Formula 1 Race Winner Prediction ๐Ÿ

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Project Overview:

The primary objective of this project is to propose a machine-learning approach to predict the winner of Formula 1 Grand Prix races. By considering various present and past factors, mu aim is to provide accurate predictions that can assist fans, team managers, and bettors in making informed decisions. Through robust data analysis, aim to identify the factors contributing to race winners and predict the range of potential winners.

Data Collection & Exploratory Data Analysis:

To conduct the analysis, I gathered data from multiple sources, including the Ergast Data repository, which contains comprehensive historical data on Formula One. Later combined several datasets, including race information, race results, driver standings, constructor standings, qualifying standings, and weather information. Exploratory data analysis allowed me to gain insights into circuit analysis, driver nationality, championship wins, and other key factors influencing driver and constructor performance. This analysis was crucial in understanding the sport and constructing the modelling approach.

Machine Learning Models:

Trained multiple machine learning models to predict driver performance in Formula One races. The models I employed include logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, support vector machine, Gaussian Naive Bayes, and K-Nearest Neighbors. These models were selected based on their suitability for classification problems and their popularity in the machine learning community.

Application of Machine Learning Models:

Using the trained models, predicted the likelihood of drivers finishing in podium or points positions and the probability of a driver having a DNF (Did Not Finish). Also compared the performance of different models and selected the best one for the final predictions. To evaluate the models' performance, I employed cross-validation, which assesses how well a model can generalize to new data. I used k-fold cross-validation to obtain reliable estimates of the models' performance and avoid overfitting.

Tech Stack:

This project utilized various technologies and techniques, including data preprocessing, cleaning, transformation, feature selection, and model evaluation.

For training the model, I leveraged Python programming language and popular libraries such as Pandas, NumPy, scikit-learn, and Matplotlib for data manipulation, analysis, and visualization. Additionally, also applied feature engineering techniques to transform categorical and numerical data into a format suitable for the machine learning models.

Frontend is built with nextJS with tailwindcss

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Keywords:

motorsport, Formula One, data analysis, machine learning, classification, driver performance, constructor performance, podium prediction, points prediction, DNF index, home team effect, circuit analysis, race history, driver nationality, neural networks, statistical modeling, predictive modeling, feature engineering, exploratory data analysis, data visualization, data preprocessing, data cleaning, data transformation, feature selection, model evaluation.

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