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yangkedc1984's Projects

edma icon edma

Perform Dynamic Model Averaging with grid search as in Dangl and Halling (2012) using parallel computing.

epf icon epf

Electricity Price Forecasting

esl-cn icon esl-cn

The Elements of Statistical Learning (ESL)的中文翻译、代码实现及其习题解答。

esreg icon esreg

The goal of esreg is to simultaneously model the quantile and the expected shortfall of a response variable given a set of covariates.

f-svar icon f-svar

Estimating dynamic connectivity states in neuroimaging data using regime-switching factor models

factorstochvol icon factorstochvol

:exclamation: This is a read-only mirror of the CRAN R package repository. factorstochvol — Bayesian Estimation of (Sparse) Latent Factor Stochastic Volatility Models

fcvar icon fcvar

Fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive model

fdma icon fdma

This is a mirror of the CRAN R package repository. fDMA: Dynamic Model Averaging and Dynamic Model Selection for Continuous Outcomes. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=fDMA

finmod icon finmod

R package implementing the Hull-White, Heston, and BNS models for forecasting realized volatility of financial assets

fls icon fls

Time-Varying linear regression via flexible least squares

gar-connectedness-a-networks-approach icon gar-connectedness-a-networks-approach

We investigate the connectedness of GDP growth risk over 12 OECD member countries. Understanding the Growth-at-Risk of GDP has been a popular area of discussion in recent years. Even more recently, it has been increasingly imperative to acknowledge GDP downside risk from the lower quantiles of its conditional distribution. Utilizing methods introduced by Adrian, Boyarchenko, and Giannone (2019), we observe the quantile dynamics of these 12 OECD member countries with respect to the vulnerability of GDP growth as a function of relative financial and economic conditions. Further, utilizing network estimation methods from Diebold and Yilmaz (2014), we find that network connectedness is stronger and more volatile at the 5th quantile compared to that at the 50th quantile, and that 5th quantile connectedness increases during the Financial Crisis of 2008. Finally, we decompose the country pairwise connectedness into explanatory channels, and find that along with trade and domestic financial conditions, foreign financial conditions are important in explaining the connectedness between two countries.

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