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Forecast of COVID-19 deaths and hospitalizations in France (last update: 22/04/2020)

Visualize a forecast of the evolution of the COVID-19 hospitalizations in a given French department + forecast of the total number of deaths

COVID-19 and geographical data come from the French open data portal

Data are stored as pandas / GeoPandas dataframes

Forecast of time series (number of hospitalizations per department) is realized with Facebook Prophet

Graphical visualization is realized with matplotlib

Example: forecast of the number of COVID-19 hospitalizations in a French department

dep

Example: forecast of the total number of (new) deaths in France

death

Running the tests

Run the demo-hosp_dept notebook to build the forecast of hospitalizations on a specific department. Run the demo-death notebook to build a forecast of deaths in France.

Built With

  • Prophet - Open source software (Facebook) for forecasting time series

  • pandas - Python Data Analysis Library

  • GeoPandas - GeoPandas is an open source project which extends the datatypes used by pandas to allow spatial operations on geometric types.

Authors

  • Thomas Dubot

License

This project is licensed under the MIT License - see the LICENSE.md file for details

Acknowledgments

COVID-19 data are shared on the French open data portal

More information here: https://www.data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/donnees-relatives-a-lepidemie-du-covid-19/

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