1. Red = Inverse Distance Weight (1/d)
2. Green = Inverse Distance Squared Weight (1/d^2)
3. Blue = Simple Average (1)

1. 25 km
2. 50km
3. 75km
4. 100km
5. 150km
6. 200km

$$ y_i \sim \text{binomial}(n_i, p_i) $$ $$ p_i = \text{inverse-logit}(r_i) $$ $$ r_i \sim normal(\beta_0 + \beta_1 \cdot r^*_i, \sigma) $$ $$ \beta_k \sim \text{normal}(0, 100), k \in [0,1] $$ $$ \sigma \sim \text{uniform}(0,10) $$