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wildrwolf 🐺

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The wildrwolf package implements Romano-Wolf multiple-hypothesis-adjusted p-values for objects of type fixest and fixest_multi from the fixest package via a wild (cluster) bootstrap.

Because the bootstrap-resampling is based on the fwildclusterboot package, wildrwolf is usually really fast.

The package is complementary to wildwyoung (still work in progress), which implements the multiple hypothesis adjustment method following Westfall and Young (1993).

Adding support for multi-way clustering is work in progress.

Installation

You can install the package from CRAN and the development version from GitHub with:

install.packages("wildrwolf")

# install.packages("devtools")
devtools::install_github("s3alfisc/wildrwolf")

# from r-universe (windows & mac, compiled R > 4.0 required)
install.packages('wildrwolf', repos ='https://s3alfisc.r-universe.dev')

Example I

library(wildrwolf)
library(fixest)

set.seed(1412)

N <- 1000
X1 <- rnorm(N)
X2 <- rnorm(N)
rho <- 0.5
sigma <- matrix(rho, 4, 4); diag(sigma) <- 1
u <- MASS::mvrnorm(n = N, mu = rep(0, 4), Sigma = sigma)
Y1 <- 1 + 1 * X1 + X2 
Y2 <- 1 + 0.01 * X1 + X2 
Y3 <- 1 + 0.4 * X1 + X2
Y4 <- 1 + -0.02 * X1 + X2 
for(x in 1:4){
  var_char <- paste0("Y", x)
  assign(var_char, get(var_char) + u[,x])
}

data <- data.frame(Y1 = Y1,
                   Y2 = Y2,
                   Y3 = Y3,
                   Y4 = Y4,
                   X1 = X1,
                   X2 = X2,
                   #group_id = group_id,
                   splitvar = sample(1:2, N, TRUE))

fit <- feols(c(Y1, Y2, Y3, Y4) ~ csw(X1,X2),
             data = data,
             se = "hetero",
             ssc = ssc(cluster.adj = TRUE))

# clean workspace except for res & data
rm(list= ls()[!(ls() %in% c('fit','data'))])

res_rwolf1 <- wildrwolf::rwolf(
  models = fit,
  param = "X1", 
  B = 9999
)
#>   |                                                                              |                                                                      |   0%  |                                                                              |=========                                                             |  12%  |                                                                              |==================                                                    |  25%  |                                                                              |==========================                                            |  38%  |                                                                              |===================================                                   |  50%  |                                                                              |============================================                          |  62%  |                                                                              |====================================================                  |  75%  |                                                                              |=============================================================         |  88%  |                                                                              |======================================================================| 100%

pvals <- lapply(fit, function(x) pvalue(x)["X1"]) |> unlist()

# Romano-Wolf Corrected P-values
res_rwolf1
#>   model     Estimate Std. Error    t value      Pr(>|t|) RW Pr(>|t|)
#> 1     1    0.9896609 0.04204902   23.53588  8.811393e-98      0.0001
#> 2     2    0.9713667 0.03201663   30.33945 9.318861e-144      0.0001
#> 3     3 -0.007682607 0.04222391 -0.1819492     0.8556595      0.9786
#> 4     4  -0.02689601 0.03050616 -0.8816584     0.3781741      0.7402
#> 5     5     0.411529 0.04299497   9.571561    7.9842e-21      0.0001
#> 6     6    0.3925661 0.03096423   12.67805  2.946569e-34      0.0001
#> 7     7    0.0206361 0.04405654  0.4684003     0.6396006      0.9112
#> 8     8  0.001657765 0.03337464 0.04967138     0.9603942      0.9786

Example II

fit1 <- feols(Y1 ~ X1 , data = data)
fit2 <- feols(Y1 ~ X1 + X2, data = data)
fit3 <- feols(Y2 ~ X1, data = data)
fit4 <- feols(Y2 ~ X1 + X2, data = data)

res_rwolf2 <- rwolf(
  models = list(fit1, fit2, fit3, fit4), 
  param = "X1",  
  B = 9999
)
#>   |                                                                              |                                                                      |   0%  |                                                                              |==================                                                    |  25%  |                                                                              |===================================                                   |  50%  |                                                                              |====================================================                  |  75%  |                                                                              |======================================================================| 100%
res_rwolf2
#>   model     Estimate Std. Error    t value      Pr(>|t|) RW Pr(>|t|)
#> 1     1    0.9896609 0.04341633   22.79467  6.356963e-93      0.0001
#> 2     2    0.9713667 0.03186495   30.48386 9.523796e-145      0.0001
#> 3     3 -0.007682607 0.04403736 -0.1744566      0.861542      0.8568
#> 4     4  -0.02689601 0.03130345 -0.8592027     0.3904352      0.5439

Performance

The above procedure with S=8 hypotheses, N=1000 observations and k %in% (1,2) parameters finishes in around 5 seconds.

if(requireNamespace("microbenchmark")){
  
  microbenchmark::microbenchmark(
    "Romano-Wolf" = wildrwolf::rwolf(
      models = fit,
      param = "X1", 
      B = 9999 
    ), 
    times = 1
  )
 
}
#>   |                                                                              |                                                                      |   0%  |                                                                              |=========                                                             |  12%  |                                                                              |==================                                                    |  25%  |                                                                              |==========================                                            |  38%  |                                                                              |===================================                                   |  50%  |                                                                              |============================================                          |  62%  |                                                                              |====================================================                  |  75%  |                                                                              |=============================================================         |  88%  |                                                                              |======================================================================| 100%
#> Unit: seconds
#>         expr      min       lq     mean   median       uq      max neval
#>  Romano-Wolf 3.604916 3.604916 3.604916 3.604916 3.604916 3.604916     1

But does it work? Monte Carlo Experiments

We test $S=6$ hypotheses and generate data as

$$Y_{i,s,g} = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1,s} D_{i} + u_{i,g} + \epsilon_{i,s} $$ where $D_i = 1(U_i &gt; 0.5)$ and $U_i$ is drawn from a uniform distribution, $u_{i,g}$ is a cluster level shock with intra-cluster correlation $0.5$, and the idiosyncratic error term is drawn from a multivariate random normal distribution with mean $0_S$ and covariance matrix

S <- 6
rho <- 0.5
Sigma <- matrix(rho, 6, 6)
diag(Sigma) <- 1
Sigma
#>      [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5] [,6]
#> [1,]  1.0  0.5  0.5  0.5  0.5  0.5
#> [2,]  0.5  1.0  0.5  0.5  0.5  0.5
#> [3,]  0.5  0.5  1.0  0.5  0.5  0.5
#> [4,]  0.5  0.5  0.5  1.0  0.5  0.5
#> [5,]  0.5  0.5  0.5  0.5  1.0  0.5
#> [6,]  0.5  0.5  0.5  0.5  0.5  1.0

with $\rho \geq 0$. We assume that $\beta_{1,s}= 0$ for all $s$.

This experiment imposes a data generating process as in equation (9) in Clarke, Romano and Wolf, with an additional error term $u_g$ for $G=20$ clusters and intra-cluster correlation 0.5 and $N=1000$ observations.

You can run the simulations via the run_fwer_sim() function attached in the package.

# note that this will take some time
res <- run_fwer_sim(
  seed = 76,
  n_sims = 1000,
  B = 499,
  N = 1000,
  s = 6, 
  rho = 0.5 #correlation between hypotheses, not intra-cluster!
)

Both Holm’s method and wildrwolf control the family wise error rates, at both the 5 and 10% significance level.

res
#>                 reject_5 reject_10 rho
#> fit_pvalue         0.999     0.999 0.5
#> fit_pvalue_holm    0.000     0.000 0.5
#> fit_padjust_rw     0.000     0.000 0.5

Comparison with Stata’s rwolf package

library(RStata)
# initiate RStata
    options("RStata.StataPath" = "\"C:\\Program Files\\Stata17\\StataBE-64\"")
    options("RStata.StataVersion" = 17)
# save the data set so it can be loaded into STATA
write.csv(data, "c:/Users/alexa/Dropbox/rwolf/inst/extdata/readme.csv")

# estimate with stata via Rstata
stata_program <- "
clear
set more off
import delimited c:/Users/alexa/Dropbox/rwolf/inst/data/readme.csv
set seed 1
rwolf y1 y2 y3 y4, indepvar(x1) controls(x2) reps(9999)
"
RStata::stata(stata_program, data.out = TRUE)


# Romano-Wolf step-down adjusted p-values
# 
# 
# Independent variable:  x1
# Outcome variables:   y1 y2 y3 y4
# Number of resamples: 9999
# 
# 
# ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#    Outcome Variable | Model p-value    Resample p-value    Romano-Wolf p-value
# --------------------+---------------------------------------------------------
#                  y1 |    0.0000             0.0001              0.0001
#                  y2 |    0.3904             0.3755              0.6070
#                  y3 |    0.0000             0.0001              0.0001
#                  y4 |    0.9586             0.9596              0.9596
# ------------------------------------------------------------------------------

For comparison, wildrwolf produces the following output:

models <- feols(c(Y1, Y2, Y3, Y4) ~ X1 + X2 
                 , data = data, se = "hetero")
rwolf(models, param = "X1", B = 9999)
#>   |                                                                              |                                                                      |   0%  |                                                                              |==================                                                    |  25%  |                                                                              |===================================                                   |  50%  |                                                                              |====================================================                  |  75%  |                                                                              |======================================================================| 100%
#>   model    Estimate Std. Error    t value      Pr(>|t|) RW Pr(>|t|)
#> 1     1   0.9713667 0.03201663   30.33945 9.318861e-144      0.0001
#> 2     2 -0.02689601 0.03050616 -0.8816584     0.3781741      0.5922
#> 3     3   0.3925661 0.03096423   12.67805  2.946569e-34      0.0001
#> 4     4 0.001657765 0.03337464 0.04967138     0.9603942      0.9618

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