Comments (6)
Hey @helderPereira22, thanks for using mlforecast. I believe you can achieve that following this guide.
Please let us know if that doesn't work for you.
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Hello @jmoralez!
I think it works! But do I lose any of the Nixtla capabilities by doing this?
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All we do with the trained models is call predict, so it should work exactly in the same way.
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Hello @jmoralez,
For instance, adopting the custom training approach you recommended means I wouldn't have the ability to employ Conformal Prediction for creating prediction intervals. Therefore, it seems I would be sacrificing this feature by not applying the .fit method provided by Nixtla.
Could you take this into account?
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The intervals are created by performing cross validation, so if you were to set the early stopping rounds you'd end up with a potentially different number of iterations in each fold. My suggestion is to run it once (maybe with all of your data), check which iteration was the best and then fix that value in the catboost constructor and use the regular MLForecast.fit, that way when computing the intervals each fold will use the same number of iterations.
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Related Issues (20)
- Mlforecast + AutoDifferences + fitted=True HOT 2
- get performance on training set HOT 2
- Unbale to do LogTransformation using target_transformation HOT 2
- Forecasting produces nearly horizontal results HOT 4
- Cross validation with prediction_intervals and in-sample predictions enabled lacks folds
- MLForecast - Support historic covariates out of the box HOT 3
- MLForecast LinearRegression Isn't Applied to Each Unique Id Time Series Seperately HOT 1
- Not enough models trained in cross_validation with fitted=True and horizon > 9
- [Custom Training] Add custom training for Cross Validation
- Found missing inputs in X_df. It should have one row per id and time for the complete forecasting horizon. HOT 13
- [core] speed up date features calculation
- Electricity load tutorial problem HOT 3
- SHAP with exogenous features HOT 4
- All series are too short for the cross validation settings
- ValueError on make_future_dataframe HOT 3
- Multi-Step Training Predictions
- Unable to make forecasts on new data HOT 4
- LightGBM + GroupedArray._tail() + num_threads>1 HOT 3
- Custom prediction intervals
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