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jmoralez avatar jmoralez commented on June 25, 2024

Hey @helderPereira22, thanks for using mlforecast. I believe you can achieve that following this guide.

Please let us know if that doesn't work for you.

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helderPereira22 avatar helderPereira22 commented on June 25, 2024

Hello @jmoralez!

I think it works! But do I lose any of the Nixtla capabilities by doing this?

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jmoralez avatar jmoralez commented on June 25, 2024

All we do with the trained models is call predict, so it should work exactly in the same way.

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helderPereira22 avatar helderPereira22 commented on June 25, 2024

Hello @jmoralez,

For instance, adopting the custom training approach you recommended means I wouldn't have the ability to employ Conformal Prediction for creating prediction intervals. Therefore, it seems I would be sacrificing this feature by not applying the .fit method provided by Nixtla.

Could you take this into account?

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jmoralez avatar jmoralez commented on June 25, 2024

The intervals are created by performing cross validation, so if you were to set the early stopping rounds you'd end up with a potentially different number of iterations in each fold. My suggestion is to run it once (maybe with all of your data), check which iteration was the best and then fix that value in the catboost constructor and use the regular MLForecast.fit, that way when computing the intervals each fold will use the same number of iterations.

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github-actions avatar github-actions commented on June 25, 2024

This issue has been automatically closed because it has been awaiting a response for too long. When you have time to to work with the maintainers to resolve this issue, please post a new comment and it will be re-opened. If the issue has been locked for editing by the time you return to it, please open a new issue and reference this one.

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