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Diffusion-based Time Series Imputation and Forecasting with Structured State Space Models

This is the official repository for the paper Diffusion-based Time Series Imputation and Forecasting with Structured State Space Models. In combination with (conditional) diffusion and state-space models, we put forward diverse algorithms, particualary, we propose the generative model $SSSD^{S4}$, which is suited to capture long-term dependencies and demonstrates state-of-the-art results in time series across diverse missing scenarios and datasets.

Datasets and experiments

Visit the source directory to get datasets download and experiments reproducibility instructions.

Our proposed $SSSD^{S4}$ model architecture:

alt text

$SSSD^{S4}$ robustness on diverse scenarios:

Random Missing

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Missing not at random

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Black-out missing

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Forecast

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Please cite our publication if you found our research to be helpful.

@misc{https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2208.09399,
  doi = {10.48550/ARXIV.2208.09399},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.09399},
  author = {Alcaraz, Juan Miguel Lopez and Strodthoff, Nils},
  keywords = {Machine Learning (cs.LG), Machine Learning (stat.ML), FOS: Computer and information sciences, FOS: Computer and information sciences},
  title = {Diffusion-based Time Series Imputation and Forecasting with Structured State Space Models},
  publisher = {arXiv},
  year = {2022},
  copyright = {arXiv.org perpetual, non-exclusive license}
}

Acknowledgments

We would like thank the authors of the the S4 model for releasing and maintaining the source code for Structured State Space Models. Similarly, our proposed model code builds on the implementation provided by DiffWave.

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