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- Definition: The p-value is a probability measure that helps determine the significance of the results obtained from a statistical test. It quantifies the evidence against the null hypothesis ( H_0 ).
- Range: The p-value ranges between 0 and 1.
- Interpretation:
- Low p-value (typically < α): Strong evidence against the null hypothesis, leading to rejection of ( H_0 ) in favor of ( H_1 ).
- High p-value (typically ≥ α): Weak evidence against the null hypothesis, leading to failure to reject ( H_0 ).
- Key Points:
- Significance Level: Choose a significance level (𝛼) before conducting the test (commonly 0.05).
- Decision Rule: If p-value < α, reject ( H_0 ), if p-value ≥ α, fail to reject ( H_0 ).
- Formulate Hypotheses:
- Null Hypothesis ( H_0 ): No effect or no difference.
- Alternative Hypothesis ( H_1 ): Some effect or difference.
- Choose Significance Level ( alpha ): Commonly set at 0.05, 0.01, or 0.10.
- Conduct the Statistical Test: Calculate the test statistic and the corresponding p-value.
- Compare p-Value with α:
- If p-value < alpha : Reject ( H_0 ). The results are statistically significant.
- If p-value ≥ alpha : Fail to reject ( H_0 ). The results are not statistically significant.
- Definition: The null hypothesis states that there is no effect or no difference. It serves as the default or starting assumption.
- Example: ( H_0 ) : The mean score of two groups is equal.
- Definition: The alternative hypothesis states that there is an effect or a difference. It is what the researcher aims to prove.
- Example: ( H_1 ) : The mean score of two groups is different.
- Choose the Appropriate Test: Depending on the data type and research question (e.g., t-test for means, chi-square test for independence).
- Set Up the Hypotheses: Null and alternative hypotheses based on the research question.
- Calculate the Test Statistic and p-Value: Use statistical software or libraries like SciPy in Python.
- Make a Decision:
- Compare the p-value with the chosen significance level alpha .
## Common Tests:
## t-tests: Compare means of two groups.
## ANOVA: Compare means of more than two groups.
## Chi-square test: Assess independence between categorical variables.
## Correlation tests: Assess relationships between variables
## (e.g., Pearson correlation, Spearman correlation, Partial correlation).
from scipy.stats import ttest_ind
## Sample data
group1 = [23, 21, 18, 30, 28]
group2 = [25, 27, 22, 31, 33]
## Conduct t-test
t_stat, p_value = ttest_ind(group1, group2)
## Print results
print(f"t-statistic: {t_stat}, p-value: {p_value}")
## Interpret p-value
alpha = 0.05
if p_value <= alpha:
print("Reject the null hypothesis. There is a significant difference between the groups.")
else:
print("Fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is no significant difference between the groups.")
- The p-value helps determine the statistical significance of test results.
- Null Hypothesis ( H_0 ): Assumes no effect or no difference.
- Alternative Hypothesis ( H_1 ): Assumes some effect or difference.
- Significance Level ( alpha ): Threshold for deciding whether to reject H_0 .
- Use statistical tests to calculate p-values and make informed decisions based on the data.
By understanding these concepts and following the outlined steps, you can effectively use p-values and statistical tests to evaluate hypotheses and make data-driven decisions.
There are various distribution but the major distribution used in data science are :