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fable.bsts's Introduction

fable.bsts

lifecycle

This package provides a tidy R interface to the bsts forecasting procedure using fable. This package makes use of the bsts package for R.

While the BSTS() function works in the fable::model() framework, not all functionality from the package has been implemented.

Completed

  • Stationary and non-stationary trend models
  • Regression, trigonometric and monthly-annual cycle seasonal models

In Progress

  • Holiday models
  • Exogenous regressors
  • User-specified priors

Use

# library(tidyverse)
# 
# source("data-raw/lax_passengers.R")
# data <- lax_passengers %>%
#   mutate(date = yearmonth(date))
#   
# data %>%
#   fabletools::model(
#     bsts = BSTS(passengers ~ intercept() + ar() + seasonal("1 day"))
#   ) %>%
#   fabletools::forecast(h = 48) %>%
#   autoplot()

Specials implemented:

  • intercept() - static intercept models
  • ar() - autoregressive models
  • level() - local and shared level models
  • trend() - local linear, semilocal linear and Student local linear models
  • seasonal() - seasonal regression models
  • trig() - trigonometric seasonality models

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