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nsmith- avatar nsmith- commented on July 29, 2024

For sure the sqrt method should be using variances (sumw2), so that's a bug.
As for the rest of the plumbing, there is some attempt to do scaled Poisson in

def poisson_interval(sumw, sumw2, coverage=_coverage1sd):
"""Frequentist coverage interval for Poisson-distributed observations
Parameters
----------
sumw : numpy.ndarray
Sum of weights vector
sumw2 : numpy.ndarray
Sum weights squared vector
coverage : float, optional
Central coverage interval, defaults to 68%
Calculates the so-called 'Garwood' interval,
c.f. https://www.ine.pt/revstat/pdf/rs120203.pdf or
http://ms.mcmaster.ca/peter/s743/poissonalpha.html
For weighted data, this approximates the observed count by ``sumw**2/sumw2``, which
effectively scales the unweighted poisson interval by the average weight.
This may not be the optimal solution: see https://arxiv.org/pdf/1309.1287.pdf for a
proper treatment. When a bin is zero, the scale of the nearest nonzero bin is
substituted to scale the nominal upper bound.
If all bins zero, a warning is generated and interval is set to ``sumw``.
# Taken from Coffea
"""
for the case where sumw2 is available. So in practice, it will be very close to sqrt(N) for reasonably large N. Nevertheless, one may prefer to be using exactly sqrt(sumw2) the documentation and the code should be synchronized, and I'm sure the maintainers would be happy to receive a PR to correct this.

In the meantime, you can pass a custom error function to mplhep.histplot(..., w2method=mymethod) where

def mymethod(sumw, sumw2):
    return np.array([sumw - np.sqrt(sumw2), sumw + np.sqrt(sumw2)])

from mplhep.

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