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Name: Adam Howes

Type: User

Company: CDC (work) + academic projects

Bio: Bayesian statistician into global health and biosecurity

Twitter: adamhowes

Location: London, UK

Blog: athowes.github.io

Hi! I'm Adam, a Bayesian statistician primarily working as a contractor with the Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics at the CDC. Previously, I completed my PhD in statistics at Imperial College London. For more information, and my blog, see athowes.github.io. To give an idea about my work, see:

Repository	Description
`epidist`	An R package for estimating the time between events with interval censoring and right truncation
`thesis`	My thesis, "Bayesian spatio-temporal methods for small-area estimation of HIV indicators", supervised by Seth Flaxman (Oxford, CS) and Jeff Eaton (Imperial, DIDE; Harvard, CCDD)
`beyond-borders`	Evaluating the suitability of spatial adjacency for small-area estimation (`arealutils`)
`multi-agyw`	Estimating HIV risk group proportions with a multinomial spatio-temporal model (`multi.utils`, UNAIDS)
`naomi-aghq`	Improving approximate Bayesian inference methods for extended latent Gaussian models (`inf.utils`)
`exp-growth`	Time-series methods for disease-agnostic metagenomic environmental threat detection

I'm always looking to improve at writing clear, concise, efficient, reproducible code. Any suggestions, let me know! I predominantly program in R. Over time, I'd like to become multilinual by learning Python (and maybe Julia?): advice welcome.
I'm currently reading: Trees, maps, and theorems, The Effective Manager, and miscellaneous resources about technical management, see reading.
You may be interested in these resources I've found useful, or what I'm learning about via tutorial.

Adam Howes's Projects

acic

Week two of the StatML causality module

aghq

Adaptive Gauss Hermite Quadrature for Bayesian Inference

aghq-software-paper-code

Code for examples in AGHQ software paper (https://arxiv.org/abs/2101.04468).

amr-poct

Cost effectiveness analysis for an AMR point-of-care test

arealutils

An R package for beyond-borders utility functions

athowes

baggr

R package for Bayesian meta-analysis models, using Stan

beyond-borders

Evaluating the suitability of spatial adjacency for small-area estimation

binder-ex

Following zero to Binder

biodose

Radiation biodosimetry

biorisk-ixri

Biosecurity Reading Group (Imperial, Spring 2022)

bnp

Bayesian nonparametrics presentation for lab meeting

causal-without

Discussion of week one of the StatML causality module for lab meeting

cdt-meet

Forced socialising

differential-abundance-theory

A manuscript exploring the effects of taxonomic bias on microbiome differential-abundance analysis.

enwtheme

epidist-paper

epinowcast

Tools to enable flexible and efficient hierarchical nowcasting of epidemiological time-series using a semi-mechanistic Bayesian model with support for a range of reporting and generative processes.

estimation-game

exp-growth

Time-series methods for disease-agnostic metagenomic environmental threat detection

fourth-gen

Bayesian survey design to guide the end of AIDS

generative-nowcasting

Generative nowcasting models that account for cases with missing reference date and model an underlying renewal process of infections. This allows to conduct missing data imputation, nowcasting and inference of transmission dynamics jointly in one model.